What Is Missing?

I have presented my plodder/plodder top 100, but there are some more speed oriented names on that list. I also just presented a group of 20 more conventional choices that feature more precocious sires.

What is missing?

How about some horses from the expensive sires? I think this creates some problems. Trying to stay within a budget and buy horses from expensive sires is in my opinion a prescription for disaster.

I would much rather spend $200,000 on a son of Cupid (stud fee $5,000) than spend “only” $200,000 on a son of Tapit. A son of Tapit for $200,000 screams “problem horse”. I would rather hammer a rusty nail through my hand than buy a $200,000 Tapit. One of the best bet against’s at the race track are cheap sale priced offspring of fancy sires.

With that being said, let’s at least think about these horses.

Expensive Sires:

  1. Into Mischief $225,000
  2. Tapit $185,000
  3. Curlin $175,000
  4. Uncle Mo $175,000
  5. Medaglia d’ Oro $150,000
  6. Quality Road $150,000
  7. War Front $150,000
  8. American Pharoah $100,000
  9. Speightstown $90,000
  10. Constitution $85,000
  11. Ghostzapper $85,000
  12. Candy Ride $75,000
  13. Nyquist $75,000
  14. More Than Ready $65,000
  15. Kitten’s Joy $60,000
  16. Street Sense $60,000
  17. Gun Runner $50,000
  18. Distorted Humor
  19. Arrogate
  20. Pioneerof the Nile

The question is where should I set my budget? I think $100,000 would be too low, and $300,000 would be too high. So let’s try to find the best horse for each of these sires at $200,000 or less. I will shop again at the Keeneland yearling sale. I certainly trust fancy sires at two year old in training sales even less.

Here I will have to choose more “empty” mares, but I will still try to add some stamina just to keep the price down. Let’s see what happens:

  1. Inalattetrouble – f – Into Mischief – Tiznow – $195,000 – MyRacehorse.com
  2. Sebago Lake – f – Tapit – Giant’s Causeway – $160,000 – Diamond Creek
  3. Mystical Journey – f – Curlin – Stormy Atlantic – $200,000 – Red Oak
  4. Northern Aurora – c – Uncle Mo – Lemon Drop Kid – $210,000 – Atlas
  5. Ha’ Penny – Medaglia d’ Oro – f – Uncle Mo – $50,000 – DJ Stable
  6. Glider – c – Quality Road – Lemon Drop Kid – $200,000 – DJ Stable
  7. Safra – f – War Front – Galileo – $200,000 – Lean On Me
  8. Simms – c – American Pharoah – Sadler’s Wells – $100,000 – DJ Stable
  9. Von Trapp – c – Speightstown – Marypop (FR) – $150,000 – Starlight
  10. Jargon – c – Constitution – Street Cry – $130,000 – Steve Carr
  11. Snip – f – Ghostzapper – Tapit – $260,000 – Mayberry
  12. Desert Ruler – c – Candy ride – Rubiano – $90,000 – Dan Pita
  13. xxxxxxxxxxx – f – Nyquist – Giant’s Causeway – $200,000 – Zilla Racing
  14. I Was Born Ready – c – More Than Ready – $100,000 – DJ Stable
  15. Bayraq – c – Kitten’s Joy – Zamindar – $120,000 – Shadwell
  16. Sandstone – f – Street Sense – Seattle Slew – Ken McPeek
  17. Pistol – f – Gun Runner – Wildcat Heir – $100,000 Eclipse
  18. Gooch Go Bragh – c – Distorted Humor – Giant’s Causeway – $130,000 – Donegal
  19. Wave Theory – f – Arrogate – Smart Strike – $200,000 – JCM
  20. Tarot Card – f – Pioneerof the Nile – Malibu Moon – $110,000 – DJ Stable

Maybe this is a viable strategy, but I doubt it. Let’s see how it works out

Published by Gregg Jahnke

I was a professional investor for over 30 years. Now I spend my time trying to pick horses rather than stocks.

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