I am not that excited by this group of horses. Last year I did poorly trying to find bargains, so this year I will try to find some fair prices. I am worried about buying TGTBT horses.
One interesting horse is hip #1. This filly is by Mineshaft out of a producing Kingmambo mare. The work was a solid 22.0. I would be happy to pay $75,000, maybe $100,000. In a time where prices are high, trying to find 3rd tier sires like Mineshaft might be the only viable strategy for the small/medium size player. I liked the Mineshaft yearling that Richie Munk last September. This is the mare’s 15th foal. I have heard some they prefer younger mare’s, but I cannot believe there is an genetic rational not to buy foals of experienced mares.
One bargain horse I am interested in is #52, an Astern filly out of a Montjeu mare. The work was a slow 10.4, but she might like the turf better. I do not want to pay more than $50,000. Maybe trying to play this first year sire (a son of Medaglia d’Oro is too cute for a beginner, but I think the risk/reward is justified. I think these horses will get two turns, but that is still open to question.
One horse that might be interesting for about $150,000 is #153, a daughter of Cairo Prince out of a mare that started twice in Poland. Maybe another CP #435. I wish I could find a decent CP, I really think he will have a good year with better mares, but the right one has eluded me so far. Even when you identify a sire you like, it can be hard to find the right 2 year old in training. I had the choice of several yearlings I liked, but the training sales are different. Good works make horses too expensive, and bad works can be disqualifying.
Later in the sale I might try to add an expensive Practical Joke with a stamina oriented mare like #320 or #335 or #559. With real money I would not chase a PJ, but for educational purposes I think I should try to find one I like.
The sale starts in 20 minutes, let’s try to bag hip #1.
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Timonium started badly when hip #1 was bid to $170,000, and then was RNAed. Let’s put Kirkwood Stable on our “bad guys” list and watch where this horse shows up:
Mineshaft – Madam Lagonza by Kingmambo – RNAed for $170,000
Buying A Race Horse 