What Would I Do?

If I had money from investors and was trying to win the Kentucky Derby/Oaks, what would I do?

I guess I would try to buy either #167 (Union Rag out of a Medaglia d’ Oro mare), or #148 (Practical Joke out of a Lemon Drop Kid mare), both worked a “too fast for me” 10.1. I would guess their price tag to be at least $500,000. I they sold for less I would be concerned that something was wrong.

If I were trying to earn a good return what horse should I buy?

Maybe I should try my Cairo Prince #59, that worked a more reasonable 10.2. Could I “steal him for $300,000? But I hate the picture (short neck and a sprinter build), so I am going to pass on him.

My Gormley #44 worked a too slow 10.4, and my other Gormley #58 was a “no show”.

Maybe I should try #129 (Dialed In filly, out of mare with some interesting Euro pedigree). The work was a marginal 10.3. This is an April 18th foal, and the mare has produced two very nice, but not spectacular, horses. Maybe this horse will be overlooked. Should I be willing to pay $200,000? This is an A++ nick, similar to Tacitus. The photo is ok, but not great. If you really believe this is a select sale, maybe you can pay that price. I like the value better at Ocala, but this is reasonable.

Those were the 6 horses I liked based on solid stamina oriented pedigrees before I saw the works. Now let’s look at all the 10.2 works, and see what might get overlooked.

Maybe #184, a Malibu Moon colt out of a More Than Ready mare with some Euro pedigree in the second dam). A April 12 foal and a B nick. Maybe Malibu Moon is becoming an overlooked sire. This guy was a $95,000 yearling, maybe they would flip him for $200,000. The photo is ok, maybe a little immature.

The #76 is a Gormley out a West Virginia turf sprinter that is interesting, but I will pass.

Just for fun let’s also think about the 10.3’s:

Maybe #33 a Mastery colt, out of a Midsphipman mare, A++ nick, was a $135,000 yearling. Maybe they will dump him for $150,000.