Conventional Thinking

Just for the sake of discussion let’s reduce my focus on stamina and value, and then try to find 5 interesting horses from the Ocala catalog that might win the Kentucky Derby or Kentucky Oaks.

  1. #502 – c- Mastery – Exit Three by Medaglia de Oro. Mastery is my favorite of thee new speed sires. The mare ran a 97 Equibase early in her career, but had a hard time winning her maiden race. She was bred by the Phipps. The second dam was a multiple G3 winner, and produced a multiple G3 winner. The nick is rated B+. This was a $62,000 yearling, maybe we can steal him for $100,000.
  2. #164 – c – Connect – Proper Mad by Bernardini – Let’s hope Connect is a quicker version of Curlin. The mare was unraced, but by the great broodmare sire Bernardini. The 2nd dam is a Will Farish bred that ran a 110 Equibase, and produced a $400,000 winner, another of her offspring produced the great filly Dunbar Road. This was a $95,000 RNA as a yearling. The nick is A++. From the estate of the late Paul Pompa.
  3. #495 – c – Classic Empire – Film Idol by Bernardini. This is a high risk colt from a slow mare, that is once again a daughter of Bernardini. The 2nd dam produced the great $2,000,000 winner Film Maker. The nick is A+. He was RNAed for $27,000 as a yearling, so maybe a value at this sale.
  4. #531 – c – Gormley – Green Eyed Cat by Tale of the Cat. Let’s dream a little. This was the most expensive Gormley yearling at $160,000. The dam is unremarkable, but the 2nd dam is the great $1,000,000 winner Critical Eye (a daughter of the great Dynaformer). The nick is a B. I believe in Gormley, this would be a nice horse to buy if money were no concern.
  5. #49 – f – Practical Joke – Lemon Splash by Lemon Drop Kid. What would it take to get me to buy a horse by a son of Into Mischief? Only if the dam is by Lemon Drop Kid. This was only a $25,000 yearling, so maybe we could steal her early in the sale, with 13 Practical Joke’s yet to be sold. The nick is A+.
  6. #48 -c – Violence – Lemon Belle – I am not a huge Violence fan, but a decent LDK mare and a great 2nd dam make this an interesting horse. B+ nick. $120,000 yearling, so will not be cheap.

These horses might be too expensive if they have a fast work, but if they have only an average work they could be interesting.

Published by Gregg Jahnke

I was a professional investor for over 30 years. Now I spend my time trying to pick horses rather than stocks.

Leave a comment