The dust has settled. It is time to prepare for the training sales. What will I be looking for in Florida?
My list has evolved over time. The emphasis is still on stamina, but some speed/precocity is starting to creep in, Gormley, Connect, and Unified all have a chance too be fast.
This is my list of the sires that will have the highest rate of return from their 2020 yearling crop:
- Midnight Storm ($7,500) – 39 sold, $37 avg, $30 med. Pioneerof the Nile at a discount
- Gormley ($5,000) – 75 sold, $35 avg, $20 med, Malibu Moon at a discount
- Honor Code ($20,000) – 54 sold, $48 avg, $23 med, AP Indy at a discount
- Connect ($15,000) – 59 sold, $51 avg, 30 med, Curlin at a discount
- Lemon Drop Kid ($15,000) – 18 sold, $51 avg, $59 med, old reliable
- Dialed In ($15,000) – 59 sold, $40 avg, $25 med, Mineshaft/AP Indy at a discount
- Frosted ($25,000) – 58 sold, $72 avg, $50 med, Tapit at a discount
- American Freedom ($6,000) – 72 sold – $27 avg, $20 med, Pulpit/AP Indy at a discount
- Unified ($10,000) – 65 sold, $44 avg, $23 med, Candy Ride at a discount
- Cairo Price ($15,000) – 63 sold, $45 avg, $20 med, P of N at a discount
5 freshman sires, 2 second year, and 3 veterans
Maybe I am giving up too soon on Maclean’s Music, Twirling Candy and Tonalist ?
I added one speed horse to my list, Unified, with the hope his offspring can get two turns.
Honor Code and Frosted move up the list because their average yearling price fell by about 50%.
Cairo Prince moves up on the theory this crop will have better mares.
The next 10:
- Maclean’s Music – not getting routers, Jackie’s Warrior ???
- Twirling Candy – not finding offspring with mares I like
- Orb – still the favorite of my “dirty dozen”
- Tonalist – maybe giving up to early?
- Union Rags – willing to consider
- Bernardini – getting cheap enough
- Hard Spun – willing to consider
- Mastery – willing to consider, a cheap Candy Ride
- Liam’s Map – maybe moving into value range
- Brody’s Cause – median price fell over 65%
- Noble Mission – almost giving up
Other to think about:
- Anchor Down – still a possibility
- Arrogate – is he next years Frosted?
- Blame – boring, losing faith
- Super Saver – exiled to Turkey, still some interest
- Astern – will they get two turns, no more Vancouver?
- Bal a Bali – longshot?
- Bayern – lost faith
- Carpe Diem – lost faith
- Classic Empire – seems like they will be too expensive
- Cupid – maybe
- Exaggerator – losing faith quickly
- Keen Ice – am I giving up too soon?
- Klimt – more than just a sprinter?
- Look at Lucky – value?
- Midshipman – value?
- Mohaymen – maybe
- Practical Joke – a cheap Into Mischief?
- Runhappy – value, just maybe?
- Tapiture – value?
- Tourist – not giving up yet
- Upstart – not sure