Which Horse Would I Select? – I

Now that I have determined my best strategy, let’s try to apply it to the sales that just occurred.

This is realistically the one horse I would have selected if I had decided to take this strategy to the sales.

Let’s look at under $50,000 and under $25,000.

My initial sire list would be:

1. Point of Entry
2. Summer Front
3. Noble Mission
4. maybe Air Force Blue
5. maybe Tourist
6. maybe Cairo Prince, with lots of turf in he dam

Let’s take the time machine back to the Fasig-Tipton sale and sit down with a bag of $50,000 under our seat. This is supposed to be a “select” sale so maybe we should not expect to buy a horse here. Let’s see what happens.

hip #24 – I might have been done right here with a nice Noble Mission that meets all the other criteria, but it’s a colt. Has the advantage of being a NY bred

#185 – I might have take this Midnight Storm, but the dam is more dirt than turf

#294 – I might have tempted by this Air force Blue at $50,000 but the dam’s pedigree is unusual

#373 – This Point of Entry filly would have been very tempting, but the mare was unraced and her production has been marginal. This would be a B prospect.

I would have left the FT sale feeling I got kind of close to buying a horse, but I knew there were 4500 a week later. I am not expecting anything in my price range early at Keeneland, but I take my brown paper bag of cash and wait a week at the Holiday Inn.

I would have been bored for the first three days of Keeneland, but then:

#1187 – This was the horse of my dreams. It was RNAed for $45,000, but I would have held the consigner hostage until he sold it to me privately for $50,000. It was a Summer Front out of a Street Cry mare. The mare won $45,000, but produced million dollar winner Street Band. The 2nd dam, by The Minstrel, was a stakes runner and producer in Europe. This is my dream horse.

#1588 – This would be my $50,000 horse. Maybe I would have had to outbid the real buyer WSS Racing. This is a Summer Front filly out a three race Bernardini mare. She did run a 90 Equibase fig in her second race for Bill Mott. Bernardini is a top 10 broodmare sire. The second dam, by Affirmed, is the producer of $2 million dollar winner Honey Ryder, and several other nice horses. The pedigree could not be better. The nick is rated B and in similar to current runner Halladay. She is a March 10th foal.

I would be thrilled to leave Lexington with this horse. I would be happy to have her babies even if she could not run.

#2768 – If my budget had only been $25,000, I would have been thrilled to leave with this horse. She is a daughter of Cairo Prince out of a Scat Daddy mare. The mare only won $38,000, but the second dam was 3rd in the G2 Hollywood Oaks, and produced a very nice horse, Social Inclusion, who set a NCR at Gulfstream for 1 1/16. She is a May 7th foal. The nick is not rated because this outcross has not been tried very often.

I will admit the picking were a little thin. I did not have a lot of fourth and fifth choices. I might have forced to go with a colt later in the sale.

I think this was a very realistic exercise of what might have happened at an actual sale of I had a $50,000 budget. Maybe I could have gotten #1187 with an extra $5,000, or maybe the real bidders would have forced me much higher on the other 2.

If I had lost all my fillies, I would have outbid Tim McCanna for #3488 he piad $18,000 for this Point of Entry colt, or maybe even #3500