What Are All The Different Strategies?

Before we choose the best strategy to select a yearling, let’s try to list all the different possibilites:

Sex:

  1. colt
  2. filly
  3. either is fine

By sire:

  1. looking for a specific sire
  2. looking for a range of sire (maybe 5 or 10)
  3. looking at many sires with some exclusions
  4. looking at all sires

By class number:

  1. a freshman sire
  2. a 2nd year sire, remember no one can see any physical results yet, but we have one year of sales results
  3. a 3rd year sire,
  4. a 4th year sire
  5. an experienced sire
  6. a very old sire

By popularity:

  1. did the sire sell well at the last sale
  2. did the sire sell about average at the last sale
  3. did the sire sell below average at the last sale

By racing results:

We could try to further divide this by 2-yr old, 3-yr old, and older

  1. has the sire had racing results that were above average
  2. has the sire had racing results that were average
  3. Has the sire had racing results that were below average

What is the best way to measure racing results?

By percocity:

  1. does the sire produce above average 2-yr olds
  2. does the sire produce average 2-yr olds
  3. does the sire produce more late developing horses

By stamina:

  1. does the sire produce sprinters
  2. does the sire produce milers
  3. does the sire produce classic distance horses
  4. is the sire hard to categorize

Maybe this is the same as percocity, but it might not always be the same

By date of birth:

  1. January and February foals
  2. March foals
  3. April and May foals

Should this even be a concern?

By price range:

  1. over $200,000
  2. over $100,000
  3. over $50,000
  4. over $25,000
  5. under $25,000

By sire stud fee:

  1. Over $50,000
  2. the $40,000 – 50,000 range
  3. the $20,000 – $25,00 range
  4. the $10,000 – $15,000 range

By multiple of stud fee paid:

  1. paying more than 5x
  2. paying 3-5x
  3. paying less than 3x

By racing ability of the dam:

  1. an above average runner
  2. an average runner
  3. a below average runner
  4. only a few races
  5. unraced

How to best measure ability – stakes level, money earned, speed figure

By the production quality of the dam:

  1. has produced good runners
  2. has produced average runners
  3. has produced bad runners
  4. has only a few foals
  5. first foal

Again how should we measure quality?

By the quality of the dam’s sire:

  1. above average
  2. average
  3. below average

By the expected surface of the foal:

  1. dirt
  2. turf
  3. a horse that might due either

By the identity of the breeder/consigner:

  1. big operation
  2. medium size operation
  3. small operation

By the physical appearance of the horse:

  1. above average looks
  2. average looks
  3. I guess someone could go looking for “problem” horses

Sex:

  1. colt
  2. filly
  3. either one

Published by Gregg Jahnke

I was a professional investor for over 30 years. Now I spend my time trying to pick horses rather than stocks.

Leave a comment