Keeneland Day 1 Estimates

I am not sure how productive this will be, but lets give it a try. This is really a guessing game. There might be exhaustion with so many Curlin’s and War Front’s early. The Into Mischief’s are not that well bred, but will sell big anyway.

It is surprising that many of the female families are not all that impressive.

For the first 100;

1. the first number is the current stud fee
2. the second number is my estimate of value before the sale
3. simple multiplication
4. the actual auction price, and my comment

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

1. out
2. Arrogate – 50 – 3x – 150 – 170 rna
3. out
4. Medaglia – 200 – 4x – 800 – 575 rna filly discount
5. War Front – 250 – 3x – 750 – 335 a little small, filly
6. Pionner – 175 – 2x – 350 – 625 colt premium , Classic empire cross
7. Curlin – 175 – 2x -350 – 400
8. Classic Empire – 20 – 5x – 100 – 350, hot sire, too much
9. Gun Runner – 70 – 5x – 350 – 375
10. Quality – 200 – 5x – 800 – 375 rna bargain, unusual mare
11. War Front – 250 – 3x – 750 – 400 filly, bargain?
12. Constitution – 40 – 5 -200 – 370
13. Ghost – 75 – 3x – 225 – cribber 100
14. Curlin – 175 – 2x – 350 – ff 85 rna
15. Pioneer – 175 – 2x – 350 – 275
16. Pharoah – 100? – 500 – 325 rna ap a little weak
17. War Front – 250 – 3x – 750 – 295 rna war front weak
18. out
19. Quality – 200 – 2x – 400 – 250 bargain?, starlight
20. Gun Runner – 5x – 350 – rna? 90 rna
21. Pharoah – 100 – 2x – 200 – 285 rna
22. Nyquist – 40 – 4x – 160 – 190 rna
23. Curlin – 175 – 3x – 525 -735 rna
24. Malibu – 60 – 4x – 240 – 140 filly rna
25. out
26. Ghost – 75 – 2x – 150 – 200 rna
27. Speight – 70 – 7x – 490 – 400
28. out
29. Flatter – 40 – 4x – 160 – 330 why flatter
30. Kitten – 75 – 3x – 225 – 130
31. Curlin – 175 – 2x -350 – 130
32. Tapit – 200 – 3x – 600 – 260 rna
33. Uncle – 125 – 3x – 375 – 335
34. Runhappy – 25 – 6x – 150 – 190 rna they hate runhappy
35. Street Sense – 75 – 2x – 150 -100
36. Ghost – 75 – 2x – 150 -220
37. War Front -250 – 3x – 750 – 230 wf weak
38. out
39. War Front – 250 – 1x – 250 – 325
40. Medaglia – 200 – 5x – 1,000 – 600 bargain?
41. Uncle – 125 – 3x – 375 – 325 rna
42. Uncle – 125 – 2x – 250 – 300 starlight
43. Tapit – 200 – 4x – 800 – 185 rna ???? bargain?
44. Curlin – 175 – 2x – 350 – 625 bidding war
45. Medaglia – 200 – 3x – 600 – 330
46. Street Sense – 75 – 3x – 225 – 120 rna cheap
47. Uncle Mo – 125 – 7x – 225 wow what a disappointment
48. Street – 75 – 5x – 375 – 100 rna street sense on sale
49. Into – 175 – 4x – 700 – 350 even into mischief a bargain
50. Arrogate – 50 – 10x – 500 – 150
51. Arrogate – 50 – 6x – 300 – 250 eclipse
52. Kitten – 75 – 2x – 150 – 190 rna
53. Kitten – 75 – 4x – 300 – rna? 90
54. California – – – 200 – 120 rna they hate cc
55. Into – 175 – 4x – 700 – 385 im not selling
56. out
57. Pharoah – 100 – 10x – 1,000 – 340
58. Medaglia – 200 – 5x – 1,000 – 1,100 ok finally
59. Medaglia – 200 – 4x – 800 – 170 rna bargain?
60. out
61. Practical – 25 – 10x -250 out late
62. Empire – 75 – 4x – 300 – 40 yikes
63. Curlin – 175 – 4x – 700 – 400 starlight
64. Into – 175 – 4x – 700 – 350
65. Uncle – 125 – 8x – 1,000 – 800 ok
66. Not This – 40 – 10x – 400 – 450
67. Quality – 200 – 3x – 600 – 1,000 solid
68. Malibu – 60 – 5x – 300 – 65 wow
69. out
70. Speight – 70 – 4x – 280 – 235
71. out
72. Curlin – 175 – 5x – 875 – 285 rna bargain
73. Gun Runner – 70 – 5x – 350 – 435 rna
74. Medaglia – 200 – 4x – 800 out??? late
75. Distorted – 75 – 3x – 225 – 300
76. Into – 175 – 3x – 525 – 150 wow
77. Pharoah – 100 – 6x – 600 – 245
78. Into – 175 – 6x – 1050 – 775
79. Dark Angel – ? – 500 – 150
80. Candy – 100 – 5x – 500 – 450 bad looking,
81. Medaglia – 200 – 5x – 1,000 out late
82. Pharoah – 100 – 5x – 500 – 490
83. Arrogate – 50 – 15x – 750 – 185
84. Medaglia – 200 – 6x – 1,200 – 200 wow
85. out
86. out
87. out
88. Malibu – 60 – 5x – 300 – 180
89. Curlin – 175 – 5x – 925 – 290 rna
90. out
91. out
92. Kitten – 75 – 4x – 300
93. out
94. out
95. Candy – 100 – 7x – 700 – 345 rna
96. Union – 65 – 3x – 195 out late
97. Quality – 200 – 3x – 600 – 620 starlight
98. War Front – 250 – 3x – 750 – 1,050
99. Nyquist – 40 – 6x – 240 – 300
100. Street – 75 – 2x – 150 – 100
101. Into – 175 – 5x – 875 – 600
102. Quality – 400 – 875 rna
103. Honor – 200 out late
104. Pio – 300 – 350
105. out
106. war 250 out late
107. run 300 – 50 rna
108. war 250 – 190 rna
109. out
110. med 200 – 370
111. malibu 500 – 150
112. tap 400 – 112
113. curl 750 – 250
114. out
115. qual 600 – out late
116. arr 300 – 750
117. med 600 – 250
118. uncle 400 – 500
119. qual 400 – 300 rna
120. qual 600 – 170 rna
121. into 700 – 1,000
122. uncle 1,000 – 390
123. cairo 200 – 230 rna
124. med 1,000 – 650
125. med 1,200 – 750 starlight
126. med 800 – 260
127. unc 600 – 200 rna
128. med 1,000 – late out
129. med 600 – 385 rna
130. uncl 600 – 270 rna
131. med 600 – late out
132. pio 500 – 180
133. tapit 400 – 160
134. bern 300 – 50 rna
135. into 800 – late out
136. out
137. pio 1,000 – 150
138. curl 500 – 600
139. connect 800 – late out
140. qual 400 – 400
141. gun 300 – 100
142. can 500 – 150
143. not this 300 – 300
144. unc 300 – 600
145. phar 400 – 475
146. qual 1,000 – late out
147. curl 400 – 400 rna
148. arr 300 – 410
149. tap 800 – 1,250
150. out
151. out
152. med 1,000 – late out
153. street 400 – 200
154. med 700 – late out
155. no nay 400 – 300
156. gun 300 – 510
157. qual 700 – 150
158. qual 1,000 – 400
159. out
160. pio 500 – 260
161. malibu 300 – 185
162. curlin 400 – 310 – eclipse
163. tap 400 – 340 rna
164. arr 500 – 300