Chance

I wanted to buy at least one offspring of the new sire Mshawish. The son of Medaglia de Oro ran well on turf and dirt. With Thunder Gulch of the dam side of the pedigree it just screams distance and stamina. There were 5 that sold at the sale. Football’s Bill Parcells bought the most expensive one for $120,000

I chose to take a chance here with an unraced dam, that only has one other foal of racing age. This is a high risk play that I think is best avoided. In this case there was so much fancy long distance pedigree under the second dam I just could not pass it up. Only 3 of the 20 dams of my purchases were unraced. When you look through the pedigrees of many great horses it is interesting to note all the unraced mares that contribute. Maybe they took one bad step training for their first race and never made it too the track. I would think the stud farms would try to weed out the worst of the unraced mares.

In an effort to learn I decided to take a chance on some unraced dams, and this was one. The horse worked a respectable 21.2 for such a distance oriented pedigree. The horse sold for $30,000 or 3x the stud fee. A very reasonable price.

The real world buyer was the mysterious Thorostock LLC which according to Equibase has never started a horse, and has no web presence.

We will call her:

Quixote’s Chance

Published by Gregg Jahnke

I was a professional investor for over 30 years. Now I spend my time trying to pick horses rather than stocks.

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