Blueprint

Let’s start with an example of my horse selection strategy is action.

Macleans Music is not the world’s most popular sire. In fact since his career consisted of one race, I would guess than 60% of buyers would consider him a “toss out”. His only real claim to fame is producing Preakness winner Cloud Computing. Macleans Music did not start until March of his 3 year old season. Almost unheard of in the Baffert barn.

His stud fee is a reasonable $20,000. Hip #303 was a colt by Macleans Music, by a Pulpit mare named Provincial. #303 was born on April 21 (about a month later than the median).

Pulpit is of course a classic winning son of AP Indy. The old story was no son of AP Indy ever won a maiden 2- year old race at Saratoga. This is roughly the same breeding as Cloud Computing. Provincial was a solid allowance type horse that did not win until she was 4 years old. She has also produced 4 solid winners. Not stakes winners, but solid horses.

The Second dam is by my Favorite sire of all time Pleasant Colony. I have cashed many bets on Pleasant Colony descendants that improved later in there careers. The third dam is a solid producer by superstar Northern Dancer.

I would consider this the perfect pedigree for my methodology. Not many would consider it even average. There is not a winning 2 year old in sight on the page.

I consider it a minor miracle that this colt worked in 10.1, I would have expected 10.3 or even worse. I consider this a very talented horse. I wish I could do more to evaluate his appearance or running style, but all I have to go on is what I read.

This is a horse I would have paid 10x for, maybe more. When the bidding stopped on Wednesday, he sold for only 2.35x or $47,000. I consider this to be the bargain of the sale. He might have a crooked leg, or a small heart, but right now I consider him the best horse on the planet. He might not win a race until 2022, but when he does it will be at a price.

I wish he been bought by West Point or Eclipse, but instead he was bought by a car dealer from Chicago. Frank Mancari has won 35 of 225 starts, so he no amateur. Right now I think Mr. Mancari is the smartest guy in the world.

If I could name the horse I would call him:

Quixote’s Blueprint