Hip #638

There is an interesting horse early on the third day. Upstart is an interesting first crop. He was Richie Violette’s last good horse. As a grandson of AP Indy he should be stamina oriented. He had some big sellers in the March sales (one for $600,000), but so far here he has had just one for $75,000.

This horse was one of 13 that chose to work 3/8 of a mile. Did he want to show off his stamina, or was he afraid he would work 10.4 if he only went 1/8 ? This horse had the middle time or 6th of 13, at 33.4. The two horses with slow times were RNAed for $40,000. The horse with the fasted 3/8 was withdrawn.

Another Upstart with a exactly a 33.4 sold for $75,000 as hip #225. I like this dam a little better. The other long workers have sold for $90k. $75k, $75k, $25k, and $25k, the fastest work selling for the most.

The dam of #638 was a solid horse that ran 2nd in a G3 stake at a distance. She has already produced a solid runner by Creative Cause.

There are 6 Upstarts left to be sold, #735 has a 21.0 work and should go for $150,000+. The other 5 have solid 1/8 works between 10.0 and 10.2. How should one evaluate the 3/8 work? My bias is too like it, I think most others might dislike it. That is why they have horse races.

I have 3 interesting fillies left #997, #1217, and #1085, and I have $55,000 left in my Oaks Partnership. I fear that 2 will go for above my price range, and the third is very shaky with great pedigree and slow work. I guess I will bid up to $60,000 here.

Sometimes the middle of a fantasy baseball auction is the sweet spot. Many shooters have fired all their bullets, and others are saving them all for the end. Yesterday had to be a little disappointing to the sellers. Let’s see what happens. 30 minutes to post.

After this the focus is on #716, #752, and #1276 a Tonalist colt I would pay $120,000 for.

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So with all that build up, the horse did not show up. It was not listed on the website list of “outs”, it was not shown as withdrawn on the list of horses. The prior 8 horses sold very poorly. A Speighstown with a slow work went for less than half his stud fee.

Did the consigner just get cold feet? Where will this filly show up next, or will they just choose to race her? This is part of the sale game I need to learn more about.

But then 5 minutes later an Algorithms filly, with a slow work of 21.3, sold for 25x her stud fee. Go figure

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So hip #638 was withdrawn from the sale and some how showed up with Let’s Go Stable. He ran 5 times for Todd Pletcher without winning, and the first time in a maiden claimer he was claimed. He is named Deemed Essential. So he turned out a good horse but not a great horse. It was Nial Brennan who withdrew him from the sale.

The Algorthms horse also became a decent horse and eventually became a decent horse that won a $30,000 claimer at Oaklawn.